Northwestern State
W-L: ( 4-12) PR = 91.3390Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 217 A South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 13- 7 220 H Charleston Southern BSO ( 9- 9, 93.4) 4- 7 221 A Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 2- 3 221 A Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 5- 2 222 A Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 5-13 224 A Louisiana Tech CUSA (31-26, 94.7) 2- 5 318 H Creighton BE (32-25, 94.4) 0- 8 324 A UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 5- 0 407 H Louisiana Tech CUSA (31-26, 94.7) 0- 7 414 A LSU SEC (31-26, 97.0) 2- 4 421 H UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 1- 4 429 A Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 2- 5 505 A Louisiana Tech CUSA (31-26, 94.7) 1-12 514 H Northern Kentucky HL ( 2-13, 89.5) 6-12 515 A Florida Gulf Coast AS (35-21, 94.1) 4- 2 516 H Lamar SL (11-13, 93.3) 0- 8
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
217 A South Alabama 13- 7 6 -5 +++ 10.53
220 H Charleston Southern 4- 7 -3 -1 -1.63
221 A Central Arkansas 2- 3 -1 -2 1.05
221 A Central Arkansas 5- 2 3 -2 ++ 5.05
222 A Central Arkansas 5-13 -8 -2 -- -5.95
224 A Louisiana Tech 2- 5 -3 -4 1.00
318 H Creighton 0- 8 -8 -2 -- -5.60
324 A UL Monroe 5- 0 5 -4 +++ 8.95
407 H Louisiana Tech 0- 7 -7 -3 -- -4.35
414 A LSU 2- 4 -2 -6 ++ 4.34
421 H UL Monroe 1- 4 -3 -3 -0.40
429 A Arkansas 2- 5 -3 -7 + 3.85
505 A Louisiana Tech 1-12 -11 -4 --- -7.00
514 H Northern Kentucky 6-12 -6 2 --- -8.49
515 A Florida Gulf Coast 4- 2 2 -3 ++ 5.40
516 H Lamar 0- 8 -8 -1 --- -6.75
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 505 A Louisiana Tech 1-12 -11 -4 --- -7.00 514 H Northern Kentucky 6-12 -6 2 --- -8.49 516 H Lamar 0- 8 -8 -1 --- -6.75 222 A Central Arkansas 5-13 -8 -2 -- -5.95 318 H Creighton 0- 8 -8 -2 -- -5.60 407 H Louisiana Tech 0- 7 -7 -3 -- -4.35 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 A South Alabama 13- 7 6 -5 +++ 10.53 324 A UL Monroe 5- 0 5 -4 +++ 8.95 221 A Central Arkansas 5- 2 3 -2 ++ 5.05 414 A LSU 2- 4 -2 -6 ++ 4.34 515 A Florida Gulf Coast 4- 2 2 -3 ++ 5.40 429 A Arkansas 2- 5 -3 -7 + 3.85 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 13- 7 -4.71 13.72 0.68 1.81 52.05
3 H Charleston Sou ( 9- 9, 93.4) 4- 7 -6.52 11.91 -0.68 1.81 -6.50
3 A Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 2- 3 -7.19 11.24 0.68 1.81 -5.89
3 A Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 5- 2 -7.19 11.24 0.68 1.81 43.06
3 A Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 5-13 -7.19 11.24 0.68 1.81 -5.89
3 A Louisiana Tech (31-26, 94.7) 2- 5 -5.24 13.19 0.68 1.81 -4.12
3 H Creighton (32-25, 94.4) 0- 8 -5.48 12.94 -0.68 1.81 -5.57
3 A UL Monroe (31-23, 94.6) 5- 0 -5.28 13.14 0.68 1.81 49.95
3 H Louisiana Tech (31-26, 94.7) 0- 7 -5.24 13.19 -0.68 1.81 -5.34
3 A LSU (31-26, 97.0) 2- 4 -2.89 15.53 0.68 1.81 -2.00
3 H UL Monroe (31-23, 94.6) 1- 4 -5.28 13.14 -0.68 1.81 -5.39
3 A Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 2- 5 -2.38 16.04 0.68 1.81 -1.54
3 A Louisiana Tech (31-26, 94.7) 1-12 -5.24 13.19 0.68 1.81 -4.12
3 H Northern Kentu ( 2-13, 89.5) 6-12 -10.38 8.05 -0.68 1.81 -9.99
3 A Florida Gulf C (35-21, 94.1) 4- 2 -5.83 12.59 0.68 1.81 47.96
3 H Lamar (11-13, 93.3) 0- 8 -6.64 11.79 -0.68 1.81 -6.61
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130.06
|
winning pts = 193.0260 losing points = -62.9619
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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